Market cap is very important. If a project has a market cap of 2 billion, to double in value, it has to reach 4 billion. To do a 10x, it needs to hit 20 billion. To go from 20 billion up by 100%, it needs to gain 20 billion more. This affects the price a lot.
Volume shows how much is bought or sold in a certain time. High volume can give momentum in the direction the coin is moving. If the price is rising with high volume, it’s a good sign that the upward trend can continue, and the opposite is true for a decline.
Circulating supply is crucial when looking for low cap coins. If a token has a circulating supply of 100 and a max supply of 1000, that’s a warning sign. The other 900 tokens will be released over time, which can lower the price. Some projects might hold those non-circulating tokens and could pull a rug pull or dump. This measure is about how the project distributes its coins and specific details related to each project.
Technology matters, but right now in web 3, it’s more about what will last long term. In a bull market, the technology has less impact; it’s more about marketing for price gains. I don’t recommend holding through multiple cycles because everything tends to drop by 90% or more in a bear market. You can take your profits and buy back in later when everyone says crypto is done and never coming back; that’s usually the signal to buy.
For narratives, focus on things like meme coins, gaming, AI, Layer 1, Layer 2, and pick your niche. You can’t know everything and win; being a master of many means being a master of none.
Historical data is also called Technical Analysis or TA, which is about reading charts and spotting patterns to guide your decisions. Bitcoin is like the horse, and all other crypto is the carriage. Bitcoin drives the whole market. Understanding Bitcoin is key. Personally, I like Steve’s TA lessons at Crypto Crew University on YouTube. He goes in-depth but explains it well.
These topics take years to fully understand, and many crypto investors are just chasing quick profits, and most end up losing money during bull runs. I might be one of them, but I hope not this time since I broke even in my first bull run. Everything went up, and I managed to take enough profit to lose just a bit.